Posted by
Catmman on Friday, December 19, 2008 1:25:49 PM
More bad news for "climate modelers". Three years into a five year study on short-term hurricane modelling (attempting to predict seasonal hurricanes) the results as the researchers say, "
model predictions have not performed well."
Near term models significantly OVER-predicted seasonal hurricanes (formed in the Atlantic) as well as the number of landfalling hurricanes and losses suffered from those same hurricanes.
A very revealing sentence from this study, "There are complicated feddback mechanism in the atmosphere that cannot be quantifiedprecisely even by the most sophisticated and powerful climate models..." Yet we are to believe models (some from agenda driven 'warmingists') can tell us with any degree of certainty what the climate will be in 100 or 50 or 5 years from now, let alone predict hurricane numbers, intensity or losses for one hurricane season over the past two years or even the upcoming season?