Posted by
Catmman on Monday, July 30, 2007 10:41:54 AM
Here's the new spin which hurricane forecasters hope will deflect attention from their now two year losing streak on alarmist hurricane forecasting trends:
Hurricane boost 'due to warm sea' .
Here's the first paragraph of this story:
"A new analysis of Atlantic hurricanes says their numbers have doubled over the last century.
The study says that warmer sea surface temperatures and changes in wind patterns caused by climate change are fueling much of the increase." - emphasis mine.
How short the memories of these people are, or maybe their talking points network is breaking down.
Here is an excerpt from a story about the reduction in the projected forecast for 2007:
"NEW YORK (Reuters) -The 2007 hurricane season may be less severe than forecast due to cooler-than-expected water temperatures in the tropical Atlantic, private forecaster WSI Corp said on Tuesday." - emphasis mine.
Do you see this? These people can't even get their heads together on this single issue. What happened about the so -called consensus?
Which is it - warmer water or cooler water?
After the 2005 hurricane season, the season of Katrina, we were told to expect mush worse in seasons to come. True to form we can all remember the alarmist forecast of 2006 which had to be revised down twice from the initial forecast and resulted in zero storms making landfall in the US.
Fast forward to 2007. Another alarmist forecast, which has been revised down once already. We go into August with - nothing. Granted, it isn't the peak of the tropical season yet and won't really hit it until the end of August. But to make the forecast originally predicted back in April, we would have to have tropical storms every week until the end of the season and a hurricane every other week. This is obviously not going to happen.
But now we get a new spin. Well, maybe the last two years have been slow but we've had so much more storms this past century as opposed to the century before they say. So obviously it is AGW.
Hey, genius - maybe the increase in storms over the last century isn't do to AGW but due to better detection technology, reporting and forecasting? Maybe?
But not even a mention of this possibility in the story which shows the biased nature of the reporting to begin with.